-Australian Political Strategist advised Ranil to held Presidential elections first
(Lanka-e-News -17.March.2024, 11.00 PM) President Ranil of Sri Lanka finds himself at a critical juncture, facing mounting political challenges following the recent setback of his political party, the United National Party (UNP), and the New Alliance established by Nimal Lansa aiming for the Presidential elections rather Parliamentary elections. In the wake of SLPP's demand for the Parliamentary elections to be held prior to Presidential elections by its leader Basil Rajapaksha has prompted speculation about the party's strategic objectives., President Ranil is compelled to navigate a path forward that safeguards his political relevance and bolsters his chances of retaining power. In this context, the imperative for scheduling a presidential election rather than a general election becomes increasingly apparent, in order to President Ranil to continues to get support from SLPP's rebellion politicians such , Prassana Ranatunge, Ali Sabry, Kanchana Wijesekara, Pathirana.
The parliamentary elections will be a significant blow to President Ranil's political fortunes, with both the UNP and the New Alliance failing to secure enough seats to command a majority in the legislature, outcome not only undermines President Ranil's authority within the political landscape but also exposes him to the risk of political isolation and marginalization.
In the face of this predicted parliamentary electoral setback, President Ranil must adopt a strategic approach that consolidates his position and maximizes his chances of retaining power. Scheduling a presidential election provides him with a critical opportunity to recalibrate his political strategy, rally support from his base, and reassert his leadership credentials.
Choosing the presidential election over the general election allows President Ranil to leverage the advantages of incumbency and presidential prerogatives. As the sitting president, he can utilize the powers and resources of the office to bolster his electoral prospects, project an image of stability and continuity, and shape the narrative in his favor.
Moreover, a presidential election provides President Ranil with a platform to differentiate himself from the political fray and present himself as a unifying figure capable of transcending partisan divides. In contrast, a general election risks exacerbating political polarization and entrenching divisions within the electorate, further undermining President Ranil's ability to govern effectively.
Furthermore, scheduling a presidential election allows President Ranil to capitalize on the weaknesses and divisions within the opposition camp. By forcing his rivals to compete in a presidential contest, he can exploit their vulnerabilities, sow discord among their ranks, and weaken their electoral prospects.
Crucially, a presidential election offers President Ranil the opportunity to reset the political agenda, articulate his vision for the country, and mobilize support around key policy priorities, until the October 2024 This strategic focus enables him to reenergize his political base, appeal to swing voters, and rally broader public support behind his candidacy. In a surprising turn of events, Basil Rajapaksa, the leader of Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP), has made a bold demand for a parliamentary election instead of the anticipated presidential election. This move has stirred significant speculation and debate within the political circles of Sri Lanka, raising questions about the motives behind such a proposition.
The SLPP, a dominant force in Sri Lankan politics known for its affiliation with the Rajapaksa family, has historically held substantial influence over parliamentary affairs. However, the recent call for a parliamentary election by Basil Rajapaksa has prompted speculation about the party's strategic objectives.
One prevalent theory suggests that the SLPP's decision is aimed at maximizing its representation in the parliament. By advocating for a parliamentary election, the party may seek to secure a stronger foothold in the legislative body, thereby consolidating its power and influence over governmental affairs. This interpretation aligns with the party's long-term objectives of bolstering its political standing and implementing its policy agenda.
However, an alternative perspective posits that the SLPP's move is motivated by a desire to thwart the presidential aspirations of incumbent President Ranil, who is widely regarded as a formidable opponent. By prioritizing a parliamentary election over a presidential one, the party may be attempting to undermine President Ranil's electoral prospects, thereby diminishing the likelihood of his reelection.
Critics of the SLPP's stance have raised concerns about the implications of prioritizing a parliamentary election over a presidential one. They argue that such a decision could potentially undermine the democratic process and deprive the electorate of their right to choose their head of state. Additionally, skeptics have questioned the timing of the demand, suggesting that it may be driven by opportunistic motives rather than genuine concerns for the nation's welfare.
In response to the growing speculation, Basil Rajapaksa has reiterated the party's commitment to democratic principles while emphasizing the need for electoral reform and transparency. He has defended the call for a parliamentary election as a means of revitalizing the democratic institutions of Sri Lanka and ensuring fair representation for all citizens. Moreover, the timing of the Presidential Election affords President Ranil a critical window of opportunity to reinforce his party's electoral machinery, mobilize resources, and fine-tune campaign strategies. This proactive approach enhances the UNP's competitiveness and resilience in the face of mounting challenges.
Crucially, by securing victory in the Presidential Election, President Ranil not only reaffirms his mandate but also strengthens the UNP's bargaining position and cohesion within the coalition. This strategic alignment enables him to navigate the post-election landscape with confidence and assertiveness, safeguarding the party's interests and policy agenda.
Conversely, postponing the Presidential Election in favor of the General Election risks exposing the UNP to electoral uncertainties and vulnerabilities. Without the anchor of presidential incumbency, the party faces heightened risks of fragmentation, defections, and electoral setbacks, jeopardizing its standing in the legislature. By choosing to hold the Presidential Election first, President Ranil is capitalizing on several key advantages. Firstly, he leverages the momentum of his incumbency, allowing him to showcase his achievements and rally support from his base. This affords him a valuable opportunity to bolster his image and reinforce his message to the electorate.
Moreover, by focusing on the Presidential Election, President Ranil can centralize the campaign around his personal and vision for the country, thereby overshadowing potential contenders and minimizing the impact of opposition parties. This strategic positioning enables him to control the narrative and frame the election discourse in his favor.
Additionally, the timing of the Presidential Election provides President Ranil with a strategic advantage in terms of voter turnout and engagement. Historically, presidential contests have attracted greater attention and participation compared to parliamentary polls, thereby increasing the likelihood of securing a decisive mandate.
Furthermore, by securing a second term through the Presidential Election, President Ranil would solidify his position as the nation's leader, empowering him with renewed authority and mandate to pursue his policy agenda. This enhanced legitimacy strengthens his hand in dealing with internal challenges and external pressures, ensuring continuity and stability in governance.
President Ranil's decision to prioritize the Presidential Election over the Parliament elections is a calculated and strategic move aimed at securing his second term victory. By leveraging his incumbency, centralizing the campaign around his leadership, and capitalizing on the timing and dynamics of the election process, he positions himself for success in the face of formidable challenges. As the nation braces itself for the electoral showdown, all eyes are on President Ranil as he navigates the path towards securing a mandate for a second term in office.
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by (2024-03-17 18:50:50)
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